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Module 5 ·
How much do you need to retire?

The first step in the super track. Before you learn how to grow your super, work out how big it actually needs to be — in the dollars of the year you retire.

1The idea

Your super isn't really a lump sum — it's an income machine. The question isn't "how big is my balance," it's "what yearly income will it pay me, and for how long?" For a target like $120,000/year, there are two ways to size it:

Live off the growth — never run out. Hold enough that the fund's growth above inflation covers your income, so the balance keeps its value forever. At your fund's ~8.9% return less ~2.7% inflation, that's about 6% of real growth a year to spend.
Spend it down. Hold less and draw the balance toward zero over your retirement — a smaller number, but it has to last, and if you outlive the plan it's gone.

Aim for "never run out" if you possibly can — it's the genuinely sustainable one. You can't outlive it, it rides out bad market years instead of being drained by them, it keeps pace with inflation, and there's something left for family or aged care. "Spend it down" needs less up front, but it quietly bets on dying roughly on schedule — and leans on the Age Pension if you don't.

2Will you pay tax on it?

The best part of super, and the question everyone asks: if your fund earns the returns that pay you $120k/year, is that taxed? Once you're in retirement (pension) phase from age 60, the tax essentially disappears.

While working (accumulation)fund earnings taxed 15%
Retired, 60+ (pension phase)earnings 0% · withdrawals tax-free

So from 60: the returns generating your income are taxed at 0%, and the money you draw out is tax-free — $120k drawn is $120k in your pocket. There's no "commission" to withdraw it either; the only ongoing cost is your fund's management fee (that's Module 6).

The one limit — the Transfer Balance Cap: you can move up to $2 million (from 1 July 2025, indexed over time) into the tax-free pension account. Anything above stays in "accumulation", where earnings are taxed at 15% — still low, not zero. For most people the cap is well above their balance, so the whole lot is tax-free.

3Why inflation is the catch

Here's what trips people up: the "$3 million" figures you hear quoted are in today's dollars. But you retire in the future — and by then, the same lifestyle costs more.

At 2.7% inflation — about Australia's 20-year average — a $120,000 lifestyle today costs about $204,000 in 20 years. So the balance you'll actually need is bigger than the headline number. The calculator below shows both: today's purchasing power, and the real dollars you'll need in the year you retire.

4The worked example

You want $120,000/year (today's money), you're 20 years from retiring, your super earns 8.98% (Hostplus Indexed Balanced's since-inception return), and inflation runs 2.7% (Australia's 20-year average):

Your $120k lifestyle, in 20 years' dollars≈ $204,000/yr
Never run out · the sustainable target≈ $3.34M
Or spend it down over 30 years≈ $2.78M

In today's purchasing power those are ~$2.0M and ~$1.6M — but you won't be retiring in today's dollars. That's the inflation trap: the real target keeps climbing the further off retirement is. (And note: 8.98% is your working-years return — see the caveats.)

5Try it on your numbers
Your retirement number
Your super's return 8.98%
What your fund earns each year. Default 8.98% = Hostplus Indexed Balanced since inception (as in the fees lesson). Many de-risk in retirement — lower it for caution.
Inflation 2.7%
Australia's CPI has averaged about 2.7%/yr over the past 20 years (the RBA targets 2–3%).
Years until you retire 20 yrs
Make it last 30 yrs
Your $120,000/yr lifestyle, in 20 years' dollars
$204,438/yr
The balance you'll need when you retire (in the dollars of that year):
Never run out✓ sustainable
$3,343,000
$1,962,000 today · lasts forever, rides out bad years
Last 30 years
$2,780,000
$1,632,000 today · runs dry at the end — risky if you live longer

Aim for the never-run-out figure if you can — the sustainable one you can't outlive, with something left for family.

Top figures are in the dollars of the year you retire (income grown by inflation); the "today's money" lines are the same in purchasing power. Ignores the Age Pension (which lowers it); from 60 the income is tax-free. A guide, not a guarantee.

6Are you on track? What to add

Now flip it around. Your employer already pays 12% into super — how much do you need to add on top (salary sacrifice) to reach your never-run-out number?

Your contribution gap
Extra you add (pre-tax) 9%
Salary sacrifice on top of the employer's 12%. Uses the ~8.9% return & years-to-retire from above, aiming at your never-run-out number.
Employer's 12% SG$14,400/yr
Your extra (9%), pre-tax$10,800/yr
…off your take-home≈ $612/mo
Total into super$25,200/yr
You'd reach by retirement$3,241,000
Target — never run out$3,343,000
Short by about $103,000 — nudge your contribution up.

Fully closing the gap takes about 10.7% ($12,814/yr extra). Within the $30k cap.

The monthly figure is the hit to your take-home — a pre-tax dollar costs less than a dollar in hand (at your ~32% marginal rate). The full amount still lands in super. Contributions flat in today's terms; returns nominal, matched to the target's future dollars. Estimates only.

7The honest caveats
Retirement returns are usually lower. 8.98% is your fund's working-years history; most people shift to a more defensive, lower-return mix once they stop earning. Dial the return down for a cautious plan — that raises the number you need.
Sequence risk. A bad run of returns early in retirement can sink a plan the average return would've survived — so drawing a little less than your full return in the early years builds in a cushion.
The Age Pension helps. Many retirees get a part or full pension, so the real number from super is often lower than shown.
You might live a long time. Account-based pensions also have minimum drawdown rules (≥4% under 65, rising with age).
8How to action it
Aim for the never-run-out number, in future dollars — the sustainable target you can't outlive (the today's-money figure is just a sense-check).
Now you know the goal — the next two lessons (Super, then Super fees) show how to build toward it and stop fees eroding it.
Near retirement, get personal advice — drawdown and the transfer balance cap get individual.
Next lesson
Super — the 15% lever
Continue

General educational information, not personal financial advice. Retirement adequacy, super tax, the Age Pension, drawdown and the transfer balance cap are highly individual and subject to change — get advice from a licensed adviser as you approach retirement. Figures are estimates for FY2025-26.

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